PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:19 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$710.2

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The markets have materially identical published resolution criteria; Polymarket lists a settlement time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, while PredictFun does not specify one.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:36:01.539859035Z
read Sep 30, 09:11 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
23 holders · 27 comments · read Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	78% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 hours ago

Holders23

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments27

Top holders

3e4rw55110908028538214653328859112241994641886674600298901915927398975673989306061
pizdi.bolyu5742531546260445790242003076018948306369004964339252403688815504905286487067
0x445164444ec6a7581c0ac20eded04ef25eb8857f5742531546260445790242003076018948306369004964339252403688815504905286487067
benguezmen55110908028538214653328859112241994641886674600298901915927398975673989306061
hui.mylyi5742531546260445790242003076018948306369004964339252403688815504905286487067

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL86%$8.613 days ago
SELL11%$0.115 days ago
SELL11%$0.115 days ago
SELL87%$14.620 days ago
SELL13%$322 days ago
SELL14%$13.922 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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27 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Flawless-Rubber · 10 months ago
different fr
Flawless-Rubber · 10 months ago
which one hitting different
Doting-Mob · 10 months ago
blast these silent general liars
Anxious-Whale · 10 months ago
eisenhower book crusade in europe zero gas chambers
Well-Groomed-Node · 10 months ago
thanks
Well-Groomed-Node · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
Weary-Spending · 10 months ago
ty king
Weary-Spending · 10 months ago
where’s the good panel at? odds here are cooked
Sorrowful-Coil · 10 months ago
tyyyy
Sorrowful-Coil · 10 months ago
what’s the one y’all use cuz this one is scamming
Miniature-Instructor · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com guy
Noxious-Error · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
Cheery-Clearing · 10 months ago
thank you bose
Enlightened-Silica · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com bose guy
Cheery-Clearing · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
Delightful-Lemur · 11 months ago
thank you bose
Musty-Opportunity · 11 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com bose guy
Delightful-Lemur · 11 months ago
yo whos update proc
Complex-Potty · 11 months ago
thank you bose
Ashamed-Stereo · 11 months ago
ye its that bose guy

As of Sep 30, 02:23 PM UTC