PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:02 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$5.2K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. PredictFun does not list a separate resolvesAt timestamp, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2027, 05:00 UTC; this is consistent with the shared December 31, 2026 fallback deadline rather than a different question.

PredictFunOpen →
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:23:15.858772933Z
read Sep 30, 01:33 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
46 holders · 8 comments · read Sep 29, 09:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Polymarket	74% No	$16.2	—	—	Open
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Polymarket	84% No	$3.6	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 hours ago

Holders46

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments6

Top holders

supaforecaster22602104561985558569952995676127423191413055337134476035318693266313716836321
bigricke22602104561985558569952995676127423191413055337134476035318693266313716836321
hansi-flick57546902899515206272720111660117907260570190042498242775180852728243090707631
LBZone57546902899515206272720111660117907260570190042498242775180852728243090707631
emilianrus57546902899515206272720111660117907260570190042498242775180852728243090707631

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL4%$1.213 days ago
SELL96%$28.721 days ago
BUY4%$1.321 days ago
SELL4%$3.923 days ago
SELL4%$4.124 days ago
SELL4%$1.324 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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Nobody has said anything here yet.

6 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

vinii · last month
scam
KINGGI · 10 months ago
okm
javierRD · 10 months ago
add more markets cause prbably be around 50 75
brownacorn · 10 months ago
Love Felix but how does this TGE above Kinetiq?
MOHAMED9267 · 10 months ago
#MOHAMED
Taalea · 10 months ago
Hmm

As of Sep 30, 05:30 AM UTC