PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:17 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$17.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp of 2027-01-01 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not list one; this does not change the underlying question.

PredictFunOpen →
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T12:03:13.437362977Z
read Sep 29, 07:43 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
55 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 23, 04:11 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	73% No	$413.8	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	87% No	$45	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	95% No	$6.4	—	—	Open
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	97% No	$0.2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders55

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 3% · best ask 4%

Top holders

sipp-7127485984667771486135157634616620865524531679970868648416890213335532838777
mani22b67849147834977248117510384775411225824950308388140345110360581181039651169382
Judicious-Neuropsychiatry67849147834977248117510384775411225824950308388140345110360581181039651169382
thanksBTC7127485984667771486135157634616620865524531679970868648416890213335532838777
50cents67849147834977248117510384775411225824950308388140345110360581181039651169382

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL96%$110 days ago
SELL96%$110 days ago
SELL96%$110 days ago
SELL96%$33.712 days ago
SELL97%$33.912 days ago
SELL97%$65.712 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

karcharodon · 4 months ago
bought some NO shares, and will buy more when airdrop announce, I have a lot of points
Zaratustra · 6 months ago
go 100m 50m
Harsh-Choice · 7 months ago
access code : vegeta
dogepepeshiba · 7 months ago
pacifica will launch much higer than most think
maxdawg · 8 months ago
damn where the pacifica bulls at

As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC