PolymarketOpen

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

No84%

Yes17%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:35 PM UTC

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24h volume$3K

7d volume$46.1K

30d volume$106.2K

Liquidity$38.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	83% No	$32.6K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	71% No	$20.3K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	68% Yes	$10.9K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	92% No	$3.1K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	93% No	$2.9K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	64% No	$2.1K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	95% No	$1.3K	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	92% No	$693.3	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	$500	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$428.6	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$141	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$39.6	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	97% No	$25.6	—	—	Open
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	$8.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders379

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 83% · best ask 84%

Top holders

PickleRickC-13772592268863590940134379238539821436400291742652781853158875216650430188037649
oegdatam24395525485845393350950214688967223293165153127110039869504787811540919959137
AlexMakedonskay72592268863590940134379238539821436400291742652781853158875216650430188037649
Organic-Stack-Cop24395525485845393350950214688967223293165153127110039869504787811540919959137
DFV224395525485845393350950214688967223293165153127110039869504787811540919959137

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC