PolymarketOpen

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$376.6
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Polymarket93% YesOpen
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments8

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8 comments

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  • BlackJacks · 5 months ago

    hes getting life in 2027 btw

  • onlyswag · 10 months ago

    try to catch

  • Infinidees · 10 months ago

    Jack Doherty will almost certainly get no real prison time. He'll likely do community service, wear an ankle monitor, pay fines, and be on strict probation Big Brother style, but free

  • USA-fentanyl · 10 months ago

    Geez he'd be a nice little fuck toy. I'm sure the lads would have some fun passing him round the cell block.

  • CaiodoBarco · 10 months ago

    Well, we hope for 5+ but we might see way less than that

  • Zebulom · 10 months ago

    He might get a short stay in county lockup for a night or two when a prank goes totally wrong, but he'll just pay the fine and walk free.

  • Roadto200 · 10 months ago

    i have never been this sad to bet no

  • Ezvkiel · 10 months ago

    He might get a short stay in county lockup for a night or two when a prank goes wrong, but he'll just pay the fine and walk free.

As of Oct 1, 06:31 AM UTC