Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Polymarketthis market
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
47 holders · 13 comments · read Sep 29, 09:12 PM UTC
- PredictFunOpen →
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:19:01.095743267Z
read Sep 29, 07:54 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 1 hour agoBest bid 89% · best ask 96%
Top holders
- kof2392764803406599233737212525171851383164450836198775775873527523839222802477471
- XieGuangKun79564157726873539461235099889728456734348102524036880153983310175206087068005
- Bsau492764803406599233737212525171851383164450836198775775873527523839222802477471
- SongXiaoFeng79564157726873539461235099889728456734348102524036880153983310175206087068005
- 5atka92764803406599233737212525171851383164450836198775775873527523839222802477471
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Discussion on Predxy
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13 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Hairy-Absence · 6 months ago
Kraken Hits Brakes on IPO Due to Market Conditions, Expands Tokenized Securities Offerings
- finallywilldo · 7 months ago
Kraken just paused its IPO
- Tigerbright · 7 months ago
IPO during a crypto bear market? No Chance. Therefore buy the best value NO you can as if there isn't an IPO this year, it will default to No and you will win. Easy money.
- Emotional-Arrival · 10 months ago
send the dex im cooked here
- Perky-Fig · 10 months ago
tired of this scam site
- Husky-Butler · 10 months ago
thanks
- Husky-Butler · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
- Sociable-Greatgrandmother · 10 months ago
appreciate
- Sociable-Greatgrandmother · 10 months ago
i swear someone shared a better site earlier…
- Victorious-Recovery · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com guy
- Itchy-Crazy · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
- Secret-Obesity · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com bose guy
- Inconsequential-Twins · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC