Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
20 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Stoniye · 5 months ago
This didn't age well
- Descriptive-Cooking · 5 months ago
That’s why you shouldn’t bet on things that are far from your understanding
- theunipcs · 6 months ago
resolves as Yes
- PikaHunter · 6 months ago
In an recent interview, TC said he wouldn’t see his life without Apple 🤷🏼♂️
- Mikelov · 6 months ago
What happens if he die?
- Xamarixo · 6 months ago
So this market doesn't matter who resign first or last ? Aslong the deadline date is met at December? Right ? Like if CEO of coinbase first but not time cook ?
- Burdensome-Kitten · 6 months ago
yeap he is out
- iutwpfal · 7 months ago
Over his alive body
- Thoream · 8 months ago
Apple should have changed its leadership a long time ago.
- kaiz · 9 months ago
[link removed]
- kaiz · 9 months ago
Tim Cook WILL LEAVE
- kaiz · 9 months ago
[link removed]
- Uuuutzie · 9 months ago
coinbase not before Base drop
- PMTraderAdam · 9 months ago
I’m scared Justin :(
- bigfridge · 9 months ago
thats how they get u
- PMTraderAdam · 9 months ago
Brian Armstrong should literally be at 95c No, there is no reason for him to leave
- usereman · 9 months ago
thx and happy New Year (:
- rjpoly · 9 months ago
No, they are all independent. They could all be No or all be Yes just depends on which ones leave.
- usereman · 9 months ago
how does this market work? if one of them leaves their position, will the others resolve as “no”?
- mountaincat · 10 months ago
tim is cooking
As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC