PolymarketOpen

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No76%

Yes24%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:38 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.5K

Spread22%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 hours ago

Holders33

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments22

Top holders

MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus9759461269321815391777706872331279605684627216894893546089562822585477166162
MaxEnt9759461269321815391777706872331279605684627216894893546089562822585477166162
YomiAlex63325372453891129070046826280666940563292829448499564235274978384421154193189
AJSV63325372453891129070046826280666940563292829448499564235274978384421154193189
kuca63325372453891129070046826280666940563292829448499564235274978384421154193189

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY36%$322 days ago
SELL13%$0.4last month
SELL87%$4.32 months ago
BUY71%$3.62 months ago
BUY26%$1.92 months ago
BUY30%$12 months ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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22 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Galucucu · 6 months ago
hello
Late-Pressurisation · 10 months ago
screw these conniving kapo rats
Growling-Ectodermal · 10 months ago
jews ran their own camp police and administration
Faint-Keystone · 10 months ago
thanks
Faint-Keystone · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
Suburban-Semiconductor · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com guy
Adventurous-Ballpark · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
Improbable-Cave · 10 months ago
thank you bose
Compassionate-Dart · 10 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com bose guy
Improbable-Cave · 10 months ago
yo whos update proc
Useless-Development · 11 months ago
thank you bose
Canine-Mattress · 11 months ago
ye its that pornhub.com bose guy
Useless-Development · 11 months ago
yo whos update proc
Sinful-Filter · 11 months ago
thank you bose
Watchful-Presentation · 11 months ago
ye its that bose guy
Sinful-Filter · 11 months ago
yo whos update proc
Fantastic-Abdomen · 11 months ago
Update Proc is a bose v e Y
Overjoyed-Injoke · 11 months ago
Update Proc is a bose z j c
Obvious-Loincloth · 11 months ago
UpdateProc is a bose
Yearly-Mother · 11 months ago
i swear this will moon

As of Sep 30, 12:49 PM UTC