Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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  Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

  ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Once final 3-day opening weekend figures are published for all relevant 2026 releases, expected shortly after January 1, 2027. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the film that grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie released in 2026, provided it is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "No" for all other listed films. - Resolution is based specifically on the 3-day opening weekend figure (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether a film has a 4- or 5-day opening weekend. - The figures used are those reported by The Numbers under "Weekend Box Office Performance," regardless of whether "domestic" refers to the US only, or to the US and Canada combined. - If another film's opening weekend surpasses that of a listed film after figures for both are finalized, the affected outcome may immediately resolve to "No". - In the event of an exact tie, the film whose title comes first alphabetically will be declared the winner. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will be resolved using the "Weekend Box Office Performance" figures published on each film's page at [https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026](https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026), once those figures are final (i.e., not studio estimates). - If no final data is available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

  read Sep 29, 10:00 PM UTC

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  Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

  This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

  231 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 23, 12:02 AM UTC

Best bid 50% · best ask 52%