PolymarketOpen

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No97%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:18 AM UTC

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24h volume$941.6

7d volume$20.1K

30d volume$72.8K

Liquidity$98.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders654

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 5%

Top holders

D33pCynic55302250828823180276187438149698246226978412434312478767847394628702439947936
MEPP5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211
rumpuld55302250828823180276187438149698246226978412434312478767847394628702439947936
Muddy-Yin55302250828823180276187438149698246226978412434312478767847394628702439947936
TronOG5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY95%$14.68 days ago
BUY5%$28 days ago
SELL95%$4.78 days ago
SELL4%$0.98 days ago
BUY95%$137.58 days ago
BUY5%$18 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 03:34 AM UTC