Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No98%
Yes3%

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24h volume$203.2
7d volume$9K
30d volume$80.3K
Liquidity$18.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria and sources are materially identical. Polymarket lists a January 1, 2027 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun provides no resolution timestamp; this does not change the event question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

    206 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 05:35 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

    read Sep 29, 07:56 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders206
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • TheReturnOfDarthMaul45531766049319965890863214697256406917608277105688348520840698813821845625233
  • junypchome8618184031231342643840589970076443003283607991865226846156174312081261691762
  • LA1745531766049319965890863214697256406917608277105688348520840698813821845625233
  • puravida45531766049319965890863214697256406917608277105688348520840698813821845625233
  • LZ.018618184031231342643840589970076443003283607991865226846156174312081261691762

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC