PolymarketOpen

Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?

Yes84%
No16%

Price checked at

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24h volume$62.2
7d volume$396.8
30d volume$8.4K
Liquidity$220.2
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date. Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title). For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?Polymarket61% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders35
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 83% · best ask 92%

Top holders

  • predictiondiablo80194150062661869797400607321041040044071132243328292838854826333057695559389
  • Garmonbozia80194150062661869797400607321041040044071132243328292838854826333057695559389
  • 0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd80194150062661869797400607321041040044071132243328292838854826333057695559389
  • limearbs80194150062661869797400607321041040044071132243328292838854826333057695559389
  • BootsWitTheFur80406142518734044590232148576413073837381730365043349281225250499004583165741

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY12%$218 hours ago
  • SELL4%$0.6yesterday
  • SELL14%$1yesterday
  • SELL65%$5.9yesterday
  • BUY65%$12.9yesterday
  • BUY63%$131.4yesterday

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As of Sep 30, 03:34 AM UTC