Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 97% Yes | Open |
| Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoTop holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296622258618506259012015230253779899663521469871109133102894907943862275009209770
- neutralwave2376199611355494823610049787982059397100238286589584562178205366623141259654052
- TheWolfOfPoly76199611355494823610049787982059397100238286589584562178205366623141259654052
- PolyJaguar76199611355494823610049787982059397100238286589584562178205366623141259654052
- rocky4201076199611355494823610049787982059397100238286589584562178205366623141259654052
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL0%$020 days ago
- SELL0%$0.423 days ago
- SELL0%$0.225 days ago
- SELL100%$126 days ago
- SELL0%$0.427 days ago
- BUY0%$027 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC