GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No94%
Yes6%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$3.8K
7d volume$8.2K
30d volume$58.8K
Liquidity$37.7K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 20, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria and source provisions are materially identical. Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp of November 20, 2026 at 04:59 UTC, equivalent to the stated November 19, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline; PredictFun does not specify a separate resolvesAt timestamp.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    GTA 6 launch postponed again?

    On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 29, 07:38 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    GTA 6 launch postponed again?

    On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    1.5K holders · 87 comments · read Sep 24, 04:44 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders1.5K
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments83

Best bid 5% · best ask 7%

Top holders

  • Detailed-Poison78843465762942534439325485216626496263376463773713149868808423998036009560357
  • cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv50225109718318658540280412494737610120319244416631769238081662045604870609068
  • Upright-Snug78843465762942534439325485216626496263376463773713149868808423998036009560357
  • grapygroyp50225109718318658540280412494737610120319244416631769238081662045604870609068
  • TheEmprah78843465762942534439325485216626496263376463773713149868808423998036009560357

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL5%$1.47 days ago
  • SELL93%$3.67 days ago
  • SELL93%$7.17 days ago
  • BUY95%$38 days ago
  • BUY95%$68 days ago
  • SELL5%$0.38 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

83 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Knobby-Mentor · 10 days ago

    completely correct sir, they are waiting until november 18 to say it, keep holding

  • SIMOMEGA · 29 days ago

    i should correct myself that the problem here is T2, not Rockstar

  • SIMOMEGA · 29 days ago

    even if the footage was scripted

  • SIMOMEGA · 29 days ago

    also the Extended Look basically proved how good the games state is, Cyberleek was clearly lying about that

  • SIMOMEGA · last month

    beginning of 2025 is almost 2 whole years, thats a lot of time for bug-fixing man

  • MrSolo-156 · last month

    I won't panic sell, almost 3 months left and they have way too many systems they are adding from FiveM that will take a lot of fixing. even the leaker said a lot of work still needed and he is probably the only one with knowledge with no NDA

  • ZadZY · last month

    nah they made the statement on their socials, we are cooked buddy!

  • SIMOMEGA · last month

    gameplay August 27 on Netflix

  • SIMOMEGA · last month

    u were gonna pre-order anyway, because youre a sheep, a sheep that lacks any critical thinking, so sad

  • SIMOMEGA · last month

    then why did u buy Yes dumbass

  • MrSolo-156 · last month

    So the leaked build was from the beginning of 2025 and clearly still has a lot of issues that need to be fixed, i assume this will get delayed until december like GTA 5, i believe the release date will be 17th December

  • LisaTaylor-584 · last month

    i swear if someone becomes an exit liquidity because of twitter posts and buys yes here brah

  • Driver-Het-Xang · 2 months ago

    The game will not be postponed

  • Visible-Monster · 2 months ago

    Given the companies record, lack of marketing so close to launch, former employees stating they think it might be delayed further etc I think yes at 10C is undervalued. IDK though NFA I might be retarded let's see

  • MAGATSLIE · 2 months ago

    I just preordered because of this comment. Thanks.

  • SIMOMEGA · 2 months ago

    OT: This game is so sad, base content available on previous entries now locked behind an expensive paywall, effective "base" game is now so expensive at 80$, no physical at launch, no PC edition, GTA Online writing was trash since ever, & those writers have worked on GTA 6 too, og staff left rockstar long ago, i doubt thisll be a good game, i wouldnt pre-order but the amount of pre-orders tells the state of gaming right now, & its worrying, a lot of gamers with no critical thinking whatsoever who like getting scammed & enjoying it, its so sad, again sorry for off-topic but this is very close to my heart DO NOT BUY GTA 6

  • vrainic · 3 months ago

    Grand Theft Auto VI will be officially released worldwide on November 19, 2026. The game will be available on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, with digital pre-loading starting on November 12.

  • Hidden-Poverty · 3 months ago

    No trailer 3 or gameplay, no confirmation

  • SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago

    sad

  • SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago

    youre a sheep, not the place to talk about this but GTA 6 doesnt deserve being bought with all the anti-consumer shit rockstars doing

As of Sep 29, 11:23 PM UTC