Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

No94%
Yes7%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$988.7
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues publish materially identical resolution criteria; only the listed market resolution timestamps differ, and that timing does not change the question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

    71 holders · 24 comments · read Sep 27, 01:55 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... — $3B

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

    read Sep 30, 06:44 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders71
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments23

Best bid 5% · best ask 9%

Top holders

  • MaxEnt40308656945818341015329039385898568425391171213117447221333526962309569275509
  • 165198989100053070271083919715825174428042762682570047698117969561192721260051515162849
  • revanchist40308656945818341015329039385898568425391171213117447221333526962309569275509
  • 2B9S100053070271083919715825174428042762682570047698117969561192721260051515162849
  • XieGuangKun40308656945818341015329039385898568425391171213117447221333526962309569275509

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • BUY91%$11.1last month
  • SELL89%$1.1last month
  • SELL6%$2.92 months ago

Discussion on Predxy

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23 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Momolly · 3 months ago

    IPO is probably in 2030. if ever

  • Negligible-Gentleman · 10 months ago

    damn you paperwork-forcing rats

  • Dutiful-Comradeship · 10 months ago

    no written order no plan no budget for extermination ever found

  • Orderly-Restaurant · 10 months ago

    thanks

  • Orderly-Restaurant · 10 months ago

    does anyone have a new dashboard pls

  • Deep-Liberty · 10 months ago

    say less

  • Deep-Liberty · 10 months ago

    someone gimme the link, tired of this mid site

  • Buzzing-Timeline · 10 months ago

    ye its that pornhu​​b​​​.​​c​o​​m​​ guy

  • Portly-Vintner · 10 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Venerated-Somewhere · 10 months ago

    thank you bose

  • Careful-Lasagna · 10 months ago

    ye its that pornhu​​b​​​.​​c​o​​m​​ bose guy

  • Venerated-Somewhere · 10 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Belated-Epauliere · 11 months ago

    thank you bose

  • Ill-Fated-Pagoda · 11 months ago

    ye its that bose guy

  • Belated-Epauliere · 11 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Unlawful-Sermon · 11 months ago

    Update Proc is a bose n R e

  • Impassioned-Vanity · 11 months ago

    Update Proc is a bose l n a

  • Functional-Rivulet · 11 months ago

    UpdateProc is a bose

  • Wise-Volume · 11 months ago

    i swear this will moon

  • Earnest-Prestige · 11 months ago

    hi

As of Sep 30, 06:48 AM UTC