PolymarketOpen

Will Trump deport 700-800k people?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$0.7

7d volume$87.2

30d volume$169.3

Liquidity$11.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?	Polymarket	99% No	$384.4	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?	Polymarket	99% No	$187.9	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?	Polymarket	93% No	$100	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?	Polymarket	98% No	$63.1	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Polymarket	67% Yes	$16.4	—	—	Open
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?	Polymarket	97% No	$6	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:11 PM UTC