Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 93% · best ask 95%
Top holders
- Penguin.93998227512966569385062320769054983394769700209259419079205974194269828709800
- iiIiiIIiiIIIiIiIIIIiiiiIIiIiiIiiiIIIiiIIii15257308188238624169989832662687373105365257783799389286836752659298955140678
- lIllIIl15257308188238624169989832662687373105365257783799389286836752659298955140678
- hotgirlisme15257308188238624169989832662687373105365257783799389286836752659298955140678
- rolrolrol15257308188238624169989832662687373105365257783799389286836752659298955140678
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL5%$0.512 days ago
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- SELL93%$1.917 days ago
- BUY95%$1.519 days ago
- BUY95%$719 days ago
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As of Sep 30, 07:00 AM UTC