Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- jfksdlfjsd17883565812385692919033074431368509269944503170327690253570087813703946722468
- Minty-Vane110752177626487577503361028534571897245040490214979435177316209090846342511849
- theta-thunberg17883565812385692919033074431368509269944503170327690253570087813703946722468
- hfdgfda32fvf17883565812385692919033074431368509269944503170327690253570087813703946722468
- DrA11c0m3110752177626487577503361028534571897245040490214979435177316209090846342511849
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Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 12:52 AM UTC