Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? | Polymarket | 55% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 94% · best ask 97%
Top holders
- Several-Date68420402359099809757188966515856762918029694502033360833978058041565763991088
- thebetter1234644333437702719106123269665895465552557411038498789482238859561672098512076
- MaxPowell644333437702719106123269665895465552557411038498789482238859561672098512076
- KTKK68420402359099809757188966515856762918029694502033360833978058041565763991088
- 64MGX75VLQ644333437702719106123269665895465552557411038498789482238859561672098512076
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL3%$1.45 days ago
- BUY97%$107 days ago
- BUY95%$4.87 days ago
- BUY95%$825.38 days ago
- SELL2%$0.412 days ago
- BUY4%$0.713 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 12:14 PM UTC