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Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:18 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$40.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders365

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 2% · best ask 5%

Top holders

ZnotluvuiSamez105909749038687353646093584977576398934339148279467952755284020121199034833651
kirillostrovski78921303073622643247824624558291531504050909099207837726631334847335698455690
Art088878921303073622643247824624558291531504050909099207837726631334847335698455690
v1notlost105909749038687353646093584977576398934339148279467952755284020121199034833651
0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f78921303073622643247824624558291531504050909099207837726631334847335698455690

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY3%$0.29 days ago
BUY3%$0.19 days ago
BUY98%$2009 days ago
SELL95%$196.39 days ago
SELL95%$292.59 days ago
SELL96%$395.310 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 03:47 AM UTC