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Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

No67%

Yes33%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$0.2

7d volume$116.8

30d volume$649

Liquidity$77.2

Spread53%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC