PolymarketOpen

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

No84%

Yes16%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:35 PM UTC

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24h volume$39.1

7d volume$139.1

30d volume$157.2

Liquidity$123.1

Spread12%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders36

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 79% · best ask 90%

Top holders

User17520143929859529938004621497319344767718608238326280318360280809944896748203902
KurtOziz20143929859529938004621497319344767718608238326280318360280809944896748203902
yaboyy21783044315591718158196095288579355302391473044464775695899458092129866575945
Biver5221783044315591718158196095288579355302391473044464775695899458092129866575945
Slow-Exhibit20143929859529938004621497319344767718608238326280318360280809944896748203902

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY88%$16.8yesterday
BUY87%$79.2yesterday
BUY86%$7.75 days ago
SELL7%$0.511 days ago
SELL14%$0.816 days ago
BUY20%$1.116 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC