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Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:47 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$14K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders90

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 1%

Top holders

0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e150775307045713902160907748259366228062853625231019442811454137269018313282103
Shjzjzj11520208993534126648890393327399757748253257880674836930520844845316470380972
Lurki11520208993534126648890393327399757748253257880674836930520844845316470380972
freemath50775307045713902160907748259366228062853625231019442811454137269018313282103
Perypery11520208993534126648890393327399757748253257880674836930520844845316470380972

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Recent trades

SELL1%$0.37 days ago
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SELL1%$0.112 days ago
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SELL1%$0.214 days ago
SELL98%$1.220 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 12:47 AM UTC