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PolymarketOpen

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume$30.5
7d volume$996.9
30d volume$1.8K
Liquidity$42.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders933
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments68

Best bid 2% · best ask 2%

Top holders

  • Jan77723292838992754288443599105453645327195065821436549655583078911490396768004449
  • mr-green-tea23292838992754288443599105453645327195065821436549655583078911490396768004449
  • Safe-Jewelry17540726999074768109459325330147925578223846904053718101370100723042933774840
  • DonaldPumpJr17540726999074768109459325330147925578223846904053718101370100723042933774840
  • shadowboy17540726999074768109459325330147925578223846904053718101370100723042933774840

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68 comments

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  • Lojom · 4 months ago

    gooo out

  • Xxsocute556 · 5 months ago

    tom midnight

  • BigDutchy · 5 months ago

    lol

  • Volku · 6 months ago

    they never officially admit it but NATO gonna split

  • Xxsocute556 · 6 months ago

    source? link?

  • Xxsocute556 · 6 months ago

    how

  • Buoyant-Trolley · 6 months ago

    27 april

  • Harmful-Ruby · 6 months ago

    WSJ - Trump Says NATO ‘Won’t Be There’ for U.S. in the Future

  • saaipofta · 6 months ago

    If he writes a letter of denunctiaion is enough

  • Xxsocute556 · 6 months ago

    why is it quiet here

  • Absolute-Pickax · 6 months ago

    0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1

  • InfoDesk · 6 months ago

    This guy @maskache2 is printing $1k per day with a weather trading bot and we are still gambling

  • Nonamenana · 6 months ago

    Lol 100 dollars

  • FishMan2 · 6 months ago

    not so fast april

  • Xxsocute556 · 6 months ago

    are u epstien

  • Rigorous · 6 months ago

    #Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 7x upside opportunity.

  • Hurtful-Everyone · 6 months ago

    After settling Iran, NATO, see you again

  • kevtp · 6 months ago

    Just trying to help you not loose your hard earned cash ... think of me in 20 days

  • bernardbulletin · 6 months ago

    What’s funny about the rules is the notice of denunciation, per Article 13, must be sent to the US. So the underlying should be more like, “the US sends notice to the US that it’s leaving NATO.”

  • prognozu · 6 months ago

    Read the rules carefully before you lost money. Actions,not words. According to Trump words he is already imperor of eath and galactic who started golden century for humankind,stopt all wars and solved all problems. Action mean that 2/3 of congress should vote for NATO exit and it will be a start of exit procedure which will take a year.

As of Sep 30, 03:35 AM UTC