PolymarketOpen

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No90%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:28 AM UTC

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24h volume$7.7K

7d volume$9.6K

30d volume$16.8K

Liquidity$16.8K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders829

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 9% · best ask 10%

Top holders

pakukudolphi36811490115386059879633839618034808068483628089964044239383524809316618024310
Broken-Cashew17119154060762939837303153532154744480893515299339917817378655626147529788480
LJa7io23MCv954j36811490115386059879633839618034808068483628089964044239383524809316618024310
M2sx92kljs4236811490115386059879633839618034808068483628089964044239383524809316618024310
Unlined-Pole17119154060762939837303153532154744480893515299339917817378655626147529788480

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY10%$18 days ago
BUY10%$258 days ago
SELL9%$0.910 days ago
BUY9%$1.111 days ago
BUY9%$211 days ago
BUY9%$112 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 03:12 AM UTC