PolymarketOpen

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No95%

Yes6%

Price checked at Oct 1, 10:01 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$15.1K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 minute ago

Holders374

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 6%

Top holders

denizz52144999543229413513861544800124735490771359660172681885251993902562842903350
dshoen101831681716333180244111475646971936256198362513844467846876475971510978571235
eightpenguins52144999543229413513861544800124735490771359660172681885251993902562842903350
Exemplary-Citizen101831681716333180244111475646971936256198362513844467846876475971510978571235
MEPP52144999543229413513861544800124735490771359660172681885251993902562842903350

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL94%$0.417 minutes ago
SELL5%$1.217 minutes ago
SELL94%$8.948 minutes ago
SELL94%$225.848 minutes ago
SELL94%$1.55 hours ago
SELL95%$88.95 hours ago

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As of Oct 1, 10:06 PM UTC