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Will Elon register any party before 2027?
No94%
Yes6%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$1.4
7d volume$1.4
30d volume$1.4
Liquidity$11.3K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
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As of Sep 30, 12:09 AM UTC