PolymarketOpen

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:18 AM UTC

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24h volume$223.1

7d volume$13.7K

30d volume$38.7K

Liquidity$12.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders4K

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments12

Best bid 96% · best ask 98%

Top holders

llh51080463689161030375818291005097816690283354390568417705958874093502264623871
Fixed-Reversal91810646921497227084241579668235102205462718984593674693010693975258849328842
0000888891810646921497227084241579668235102205462718984593674693010693975258849328842
gtowagger91810646921497227084241579668235102205462718984593674693010693975258849328842
Wojtek91810646921497227084241579668235102205462718984593674693010693975258849328842

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL96%$32 days ago
SELL97%$32 days ago
SELL97%$12 days ago
SELL97%$12 days ago
SELL97%$12 days ago
SELL96%$12 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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12 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

lmr-218 · 2 months ago
？？？
BTCliuguanyi · 4 months ago
hahhahaha
BTCliuguanyi · 4 months ago
hhahah
pikachu6683 · 5 months ago
never
willa · 5 months ago
nice
Ecsasy · 5 months ago
hh
dzog-chen · 6 months ago
除非某人先下课
Evilgoldfish · 6 months ago
只有不了解中国体制的人才可能压是
fu-li-ge · 7 months ago
押是的都是外国人吧哈哈哈
notdegenanymor3 · 7 months ago
根本不可能
KAIDEN · 7 months ago
Yes
JABE33 · 7 months ago
yes

As of Sep 30, 03:35 AM UTC