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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No97%
Yes3%

Price checked at

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24h volume$242.3
7d volume$653.8
30d volume$1.5K
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket lists a resolution time of January 1, 2027, while PredictFun does not publish a resolution time; this does not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    79 holders · 22 comments · read Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:57:56.738852783Z

    read Oct 1, 05:39 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders79
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments21

Top holders

  • XieGuangKun44547152496212847740061080841265650032108158993466836859412259707179444064344
  • 0x225a7932349f30dd6dd4270a616791e6fba218274927822480860592396593692483043642132200897775575124930148385016112430190854
  • PNP4927822480860592396593692483043642132200897775575124930148385016112430190854
  • Blaring-Orchard4927822480860592396593692483043642132200897775575124930148385016112430190854
  • acal4927822480860592396593692483043642132200897775575124930148385016112430190854

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL96%$256 days ago
  • SELL2%$7.96 days ago
  • SELL94%$45.19 days ago
  • SELL96%$37.411 days ago
  • SELL94%$9.412 days ago
  • SELL92%$27.417 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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21 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Curme · 6 months ago

    While it validates Ethereum’s maturity, many in the community fear the 'corporate' pivot

  • ProbSee · 7 months ago

    → S-1 filing (overdue, expected Q1 2026) — confirmation shifts this to 90%+, continued silence drags it toward 60% → MASK token TGE — lubin confirmed it's coming, likely pre-IPO to boost engagement metrics for the roadshow. still no date. → ETH price action — consensys is ethereum infrastructure. sustained ETH weakness complicates the IPO narrative → crypto IPO window — kraken, ledger, bitgo all targeting 2026. if kraken IPOs successfully first, it validates the window. if it stumbles, consensys may delay → macro/tariff uncertainty — trump policy volatility could close IPO windows fast tail risk: acquisition by a public company resolves NO immediately per market rules. 75% feels about right but the clock is ticking. no S-1 by end of Q1 is the first real bearish signal.

  • Passionate-Bobcat · 10 months ago

    this one dead, next one

  • Harmful-Earthworm · 10 months ago

    to hell with these parasitic gefilte fish gobblers

  • Incompatible-Editorial · 10 months ago

    british decrypts never mention gassings ever

  • Shrill-Captor · 10 months ago

    thanks

  • Shrill-Captor · 10 months ago

    does anyone have a new dashboard pls

  • Measly-Handful · 10 months ago

    clean

  • Measly-Handful · 10 months ago

    which one had the new ui?

  • Dense-Starboard · 10 months ago

    ye its that pornhu​​b​​​.​​c​o​​m​​ guy

  • Waterlogged-Arm · 10 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Mountainous-Curtain · 11 months ago

    thank you bose

  • Quixotic-Puritan · 11 months ago

    ye its that bose guy

  • Mountainous-Curtain · 11 months ago

    yo whos update proc

  • Embellished-Troop · 11 months ago

    Update Proc is a bose s J p

  • Quarrelsome-Pen · 11 months ago

    Update Proc is a bose e g W

  • Bogus-Modernity · 11 months ago

    UpdateProc is a bose

  • Impractical-Baboon · 11 months ago

    i swear this will moon

  • Worst-Profit · 11 months ago

    hi

  • Wealthy-Influx · 11 months ago

    hi

As of Oct 1, 02:07 PM UTC