PolymarketOpen

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

No90%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 30, 11:47 AM UTC

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24h volume$54.4

7d volume$1.1K

30d volume$1.1K

Liquidity$585.2

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Sep 30, 12:19 PM UTC