Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 91% · best ask 93%
Top holders
- qmarktea26176387069967725418539368518279260352303182827227966329832868478861860932409
- WongKimArk6176387069967725418539368518279260352303182827227966329832868478861860932409
- Mannycalifornia79397895660526576528066965797785113521241099187839967306891454236823723226031
- 0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c479397895660526576528066965797785113521241099187839967306891454236823723226031
- M88879397895660526576528066965797785113521241099187839967306891454236823723226031
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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100 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Envious-Concern · 14 days ago
well it wouldn't shock anyone lol
- NoiseC · 14 days ago
My thesis was dumping my YES into yesterday's rise.
- buoys · 15 days ago
So, what's the new thesis? Y'all yes holders really giving a 15% chance he dies in the next 3.5 months?
- Car · 15 days ago
i thought he was dead? right magatards?
- Mannycalifornia · 20 days ago
Friday the 11th would be more strategic. Less media attention, they can shuffle the committee seats to get the farm bill out of committee on Monday. Its a must win or else the midterms will be even more of a disaster for the repubs
- MeNoDatNutReelMuni · 22 days ago
September 14th... he will resign
- LongShot-Louie · last month
Hes dead, turtles can't survive that long hiding in their shell.
- Mannycalifornia · last month
Looks like liquidity thinned out on the ask side, something may be brewing
- Noupeinnouguein · last month
Buy some yes
- clazzy1 · last month
stfu retard
- Noupeinnouguein · last month
This is crazy
- SIMOMEGA · last month
No
- SIMOMEGA · last month
ur mom
- SIMOMEGA · last month
dont thank a non-existing entity
- clazzy1 · last month
thank god you are my counterparty
- NoiseC · last month
We live in the upside-down world now, for the conspiracy theory is that man is mortal.
- S888 · last month
Should I sell?
- S888 · last month
Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has not responded to his requests for a health update, as reported by The Hill.
- S888 · last month
Kentucky Gov. Says Mitch McConnell ‘Absolutely Refuses’ to Give Public Update
- ElonMusksQueef · 2 months ago
23c for $1 guaranteed right now 😂
As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC