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Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes96%
No5%

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Liquidity$55.1K
Spread1%
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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen

Venue activity

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4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Magician5342 · 15 days ago

    Roy Cooper is a popular former governor and the campaign of his opponent is a complete disaster.

  • Magician5342 · 15 days ago

    A dollar is on sale for 90 cents!

  • ItsRigg3d · 6 months ago

    Public Policy Polling got them at +3, and these usually prop the Dem numbers up

  • JustTheFacts · 11 months ago

    Dem is ahead by 8-10 pts in new polls, how are they only 69 percent?

As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC