PolymarketOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$57.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies resolution by the certified election result (including runoffs), or by AP, Fox News, and NBC calls; Pascal's published criteria are absent, so no material difference is established. The one-minute difference in listed resolution times is a settlement-time difference, not a different event.
  • Massachusetts Senate Winner: Republicans

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 24, 11:51 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    34 holders · 1 comments · read Oct 13, 03:56 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Polymarket98% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders34
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Best bid 98% · best ask 99%

Top holders

  • DanielXRP94720102345103978732985991591541449349105398685307981352929740529082927790385
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296689749451189659806236078281140753717284965641684284805325103046978904196883787
  • Prickly-Eyrie89749451189659806236078281140753717284965641684284805325103046978904196883787
  • probability89749451189659806236078281140753717284965641684284805325103046978904196883787
  • MrNoItAll89749451189659806236078281140753717284965641684284805325103046978904196883787

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL1%$012 days ago
  • BUY2%$113 days ago
  • BUY99%$51014 days ago
  • BUY99%$15015 days ago
  • BUY99%$4015 days ago
  • BUY99%$1024 days ago

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1 comment

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  • JT.XRP · 9 months ago

    John Deaton

As of Oct 25, 12:49 AM UTC