Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes60%
No41%

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24h volume$4.2K
7d volume$238.7K
30d volume$428.8K
Liquidity$103.3K
Spread1%
Resolves—

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects, including sources and fallback to official certification.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    896 holders · 73 comments · read Sep 28, 01:42 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    read Sep 29, 07:48 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Polymarket60% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders896
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments72

Best bid 39% · best ask 40%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129666136336712352911156426560180855478229745540927722899997193789497766196705020
  • SlavaUkraini7589880081658059374445882095611024032084645048848237404312287942463647821549
  • Detailed-Challenge7589880081658059374445882095611024032084645048848237404312287942463647821549
  • coali107589880081658059374445882095611024032084645048848237404312287942463647821549
  • 111226136336712352911156426560180855478229745540927722899997193789497766196705020

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Discussion on Predxy

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72 comments

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  • Norco66 · 2 days ago

    All of you morons are gonna be coping so hard in november

  • degenwifhat · 2 days ago

    its called a trade smooth brain- he aint winning, but im still making money on it

  • Magician5342 · 3 days ago

    What’s so funny? Is it funny that you think Hilton will win CA Gov😂😭

  • AnEggplant · 4 days ago

    Better than having peaked in high school

  • BTCisaHarshMistress · 4 days ago

    Troy Jackson peaked last week

  • degenwifhat · 5 days ago

    🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • degenwifhat · 5 days ago

    howd that work out for ya

  • degenwifhat · 5 days ago

    well well well

  • degenwifhat · 5 days ago

    😂😂😂😂😂

  • JustTheFacts · 5 days ago

    Why did Jackson's price drop? UMass Lowell was the most accurate pollster in the last midterms and has him up 5 pts today.

  • pantomime · 6 days ago

    gm

  • JustTheFacts · 6 days ago

    If you haven't checked out the latest news, this race is over

  • flybat · 7 days ago

    is a criminal and would go to jail if Trump didn’t shut it down

  • WatchTheTape · last month

    Susan

  • MispricedPaladin · last month

    The guy who is too close to his cousin versus the poll destroyer?

  • bravonolan-393 · 2 months ago

    Jackson is locking in. R’s reaaally wanted Platner lol

  • kimjongun123 · 2 months ago

    Words can't describe how much I hate Graham Platner. Should've stayed in.

  • TireLatest · 2 months ago

    If Troy Jackson or Susan Collins drops out, how will their contracts resolve? Please revert to the original rules.

  • AnEggplant · 2 months ago

    Jackson marrying his cousin and having two kids with her is a brilliant masterstroke - he’s got the maga vote locked up. It’s a bond.

  • MERKABANK · 2 months ago

    ®️

As of Sep 30, 12:16 AM UTC