Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Tepid-Bus-Daffodil · 2 months ago
This market is useless as written, the Democrat has dropped out so it's a Republican against an independent. Need to add a row for the independent so this can start making sense.
- Sleepyfan · 6 months ago
The independent is already polling 3 points higher than Risch. Market is whack.
As of Sep 30, 03:29 AM UTC