Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Yes97%
No3%

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24h volume$25.5
7d volume$16.1K
30d volume$39.7K
Liquidity$63K
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies resolution via AP, Fox News, and NBC calls or official certification and includes runoffs; Pascal publishes no separate criteria and references Polymarket's resolution. The listed resolution times differ by one minute.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    143 holders · 3 comments · read Oct 1, 07:49 AM UTC

  • PascalOpen →

    Georgia Senate Winner: Democrats

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 01:59 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders143
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments3

Best bid 97% · best ask 98%

Top holders

  • Snarfsnarfsnarf35836144845762083734936716777818582913796871841916057482479347577598882811767
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296635836144845762083734936716777818582913796871841916057482479347577598882811767
  • anoin12335836144845762083734936716777818582913796871841916057482479347577598882811767
  • 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b83621024219148268989748704207701411444044468128261642675917026452687231462203167
  • SAPolitcsSeer21024219148268989748704207701411444044468128261642675917026452687231462203167

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY98%$9.9yesterday
  • BUY3%$1.4yesterday
  • SELL95%$3.9yesterday
  • BUY96%$2.9Kyesterday
  • BUY5%$2.32 days ago
  • BUY5%$22 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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3 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Magician5342 · 13 days ago

    Hopefully a runoff is not required

  • CKAB · 2 months ago

    Ossoff wins by like 15%

  • CKAB · 2 months ago

    Ossoff wins by like 15% off this comment alone

As of Oct 2, 02:09 PM UTC