Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?

Yes93%
No8%

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24h volume$1.7K
7d volume$10.8K
30d volume$15.1K
Liquidity$64.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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No recorded data before Sep 17 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Pascal provides no separate resolution criteria and references the Polymarket market, whose criteria use AP, Fox News, and NBC calls or official certification. Their listed settlement times differ by one minute, which is not a material difference.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    69 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 15, 07:00 AM UTC

  • Oklahoma Governor Winner: Republicans

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 24, 09:19 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders69
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 89% · best ask 91%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296670400850745105924579032258999370614016356127378629300586837478000148390833708
  • ImJustKen12195532376431728872322429427491005809800415403259444414908025975252692275196
  • QMG-CORE12195532376431728872322429427491005809800415403259444414908025975252692275196
  • 0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd70400850745105924579032258999370614016356127378629300586837478000148390833708
  • cigarettes12195532376431728872322429427491005809800415403259444414908025975252692275196

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Recent trades

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As of Oct 24, 09:36 PM UTC