Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes58%
No42%

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24h volume$27.6K
7d volume$452.8K
30d volume$724.8K
Liquidity$145.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesJun 3, 20264 months ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp, while PredictFun does not. Both use credible reporting primarily and official City of Los Angeles information if ambiguous.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

    1.1K holders · 175 comments · read Sep 27, 10:45 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

    read Sep 29, 06:54 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Polymarket59% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders1.1K
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments173

Best bid 58% · best ask 58%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296658507084608782512565480280053882807505189448738098588563704773804344223603355
  • lomneivan58507084608782512565480280053882807505189448738098588563704773804344223603355
  • anoin12358507084608782512565480280053882807505189448738098588563704773804344223603355
  • bernardbulletin50292933818751585369672690878774599873941191925538325333138798248932182222864
  • wan12358507084608782512565480280053882807505189448738098588563704773804344223603355

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY58%$32 days ago
  • BUY42%$2.72 days ago
  • BUY58%$282 days ago
  • SELL58%$5.82 days ago
  • SELL58%$5.82 days ago
  • SELL42%$13.82 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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173 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Magician5342 · 2 days ago

    If elected, good luck to LA citizens

  • pokefan · 2 days ago

    interesting :D

  • EmmanuelLeal · 2 days ago

  • tiongbu · 3 days ago

    Is a KAREN gonna be mayor?

  • bernardbulletin · 4 days ago

    a winner?

  • Magician5342 · 5 days ago

    Raman is probably Katie Wilson 2.0 rather than Mamdani 2.0 LOL

  • Bperil · 6 days ago

  • Chungvicular · 6 days ago

  • The-Joker · 6 days ago

  • bernardbulletin · 6 days ago

  • moneymakingmachine · 6 days ago

    peace out girl scouts

  • Maple7 · 6 days ago

    Damn, its flipping

  • sollydisa · 6 days ago

    Y'all don't read the LA times at 6AM ET/3AM PT??

  • PMTraderAdam · 8 days ago

    Wowowowowowow

  • Chungvicular · 8 days ago

  • moneymakingmachine · 10 days ago

    karen bass? more like karen TRASH 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • SheepToken · 11 days ago

    What's the margin of mogging error and have we accounted for mail-in mewing?

  • extractive-manatee · 12 days ago

    Our proprietary clavicular index is heavily leaning in Nithya Raman's favor at a score of 5.2 compared to a dismal 2.1 of Karen Bass. "Karen bass is unlikely to win with a recessed maxilla and over accentuated orbitals. Nithya Raman heavily mogs Karen Bass by a significant margin with impressively symmetrical facial features"

  • PMTraderAdam · 12 days ago

  • LiquidatedDegen · 12 days ago

As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC