Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 3% · best ask 4%
Top holders
- TreepleA703229116919803457142440034780425874346022451261358752931225117413237404457
- allenzzz71144742975537017512904527392353107518472601816123355990566837993879064231255
- RobClive703229116919803457142440034780425874346022451261358752931225117413237404457
- vk7703229116919803457142440034780425874346022451261358752931225117413237404457
- helloiamworld71144742975537017512904527392353107518472601816123355990566837993879064231255
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As of Sep 30, 01:12 AM UTC