GeminiAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Best AI at the end of 2026? — Grok

No97 %

Yes3 %

Precio comprobado el 4 oct, 04:03 UTC

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Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

If x AI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fea66c0a95d3c45e5810d4a006785e648?alt=media&token=2d7cf5c5-b5d4-469a-a23d-fc3cb10f6ecc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. They settle at different times: Kalshi at 2026-12-31 15:00 UTC and Gemini at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC. Gemini explicitly names LM Arena as the source and states mutual exclusivity; Kalshi specifies the Remove Style Control setting but does not name a source in the published text.

Geminieste mercado
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Grok
If x AI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fea66c0a95d3c45e5810d4a006785e648?alt=media&token=2d7cf5c5-b5d4-469a-a23d-fc3cb10f6ecc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)
leído 3 oct, 23:18 UTC
KalshiAbrir →
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Grok
If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
leído 2 oct, 16:11 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Gemini	Gemini	62 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ChatGPT	Gemini	91 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Claude	Gemini	52 % Yes	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Qwen	Gemini	98 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Ernie	Gemini	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — LLaMA	Gemini	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto

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A las 4 oct, 04:06 UTC