| 01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 15 %Yes | ↑2 pts | | 377,6 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 29 %Yes | ↓5 pts | | 212,8 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? World | 4 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 126,9 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Worldcon precio de 1 de 2 | 22 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 109,7 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 05 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 10 %Yes | ↓3 pts | | 97 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | 14 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 80,6 mil US$ | 3 | | |
| 07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 61 %Yes | ↑3 pts | | 78,1 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 08 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | 4 %Yes | →0 pts | | 72 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | 16 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 70,9 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | 74 %Yes | ↓3 pts | | 62,7 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 11 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 5 %Yes | ↑1 pts | | 58,1 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | 57 %Yes | ↓4 pts | | 57,7 mil US$ | 3 | | |
| 13 | US-Iran nuclear deal?: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4 %Before Nov 1, 2026 | ↓1 pts | | 55,4 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 14 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? | 4 %Yes | — | | 52,2 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 15 | Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? Before Dec 1, 2026 World | 11 %Before Dec 1, 2026 | ↓2 pts | | 46,6 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 16 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | 20 %Yes | — | | 41,3 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?World🇨🇳China🇹🇼Taiwáncon precio de 1 de 2 | 3 %Yes | →0 pts | | 41,2 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | 36 %Yes | →0 pts | | 39,5 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 19 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 70 %Yes | ↓12 pts | | 37,2 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 8 %Yes | ↓1 pts | | 35,9 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? World | 13 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 32,1 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 22 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | 12 %Yes | ↑1 pts | | 27,5 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 7 %Yes | →0 pts | | 26,7 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...: December 31 Worldcon precio de 1 de 2 | 18 %Yes | ↓1 pts | | 25,2 mil US$ | 2 | | |
| 25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | 12 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 25,1 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 84 %Yes | ↓1 pts | | 24,2 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 14 %Yes | ↓1 pts | | 24 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? World | 8 %Yes | ↓2 pts | | 21,6 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 29 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | 47 %Yes | ↑1 pts | | 20,6 mil US$ | 1 | | |
| 30 | Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027 World | 19 %Before Jan 1, 2027 | ↓3 pts | | 20 mil US$ | 1 | | |