GeminiAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Best AI at the end of 2026? — Gemini

No62 %

Yes38 %

Precio comprobado el 4 oct, 03:09 UTC

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Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fea66c0a95d3c45e5810d4a006785e648?alt=media&token=2d7cf5c5-b5d4-469a-a23d-fc3cb10f6ecc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. They have different settlement timestamps (Kalshi: Dec. 31 at 15:00 UTC; Gemini: Jan. 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC), while the event deadline is the same. The Gemini venue explicitly names LM Arena as the verification source and provides additional terms; Kalshi’s published criteria do not name a source.

KalshiAbrir →
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
leído 3 oct, 16:16 UTC
Geminieste mercado
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Gemini
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fea66c0a95d3c45e5810d4a006785e648?alt=media&token=2d7cf5c5-b5d4-469a-a23d-fc3cb10f6ecc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)
leído 3 oct, 19:06 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ChatGPT	Gemini	91 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Claude	Gemini	52 % Yes	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Qwen	Gemini	98 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Ernie	Gemini	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Grok	Gemini	97 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Best AI at the end of 2026? — LLaMA	Gemini	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto

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A las 4 oct, 03:15 UTC