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Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No100 %

Yes0 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 07:48 UTC

Los precios no se han comprobado en la última hora.

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Volumen 24 h32,8 US$

Volumen 7 d520,5 US$

Volumen 30 d1,7 mil US$

Liquidez1,6 mil US$

Spread0 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket lists settlement on January 1, 2027, while Limitless lists December 31, 2026; both criteria measure launches through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The published resolution source and substantive rules are otherwise identical.

Polymarketeste mercado
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
93 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 25 sept, 10:58 UTC
LimitlessAbrir →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 titulares · leído 30 sept, 02:09 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	60 % Yes	120,1 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	98,8 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	82,8 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	62 % No	37,6 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	12,8 US$	—	—	Abierto

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Breakable-Bottomline88581699143591497758671904184719585554648078930935260056154690871588134205285
50sad88581699143591497758671904184719585554648078930935260056154690871588134205285
27kgfdogodgfg88581699143591497758671904184719585554648078930935260056154690871588134205285
LornaPredicts88581699143591497758671904184719585554648078930935260056154690871588134205285

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A las 30 sept, 09:06 UTC