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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12

No99 %

Yes1 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 06:39 UTC

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Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket lists settlement on January 1, 2027, while Limitless lists December 31, 2026; both criteria measure launches through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The published resolution source and substantive rules are otherwise identical.

PolymarketAbrir →
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
93 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 25 sept, 10:58 UTC
Limitlesseste mercado
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 titulares · leído 30 sept, 02:09 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

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Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5	Limitless	50 % Yes	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8	Limitless	98 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto

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A las 30 sept, 06:41 UTC