How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8

No98 %
Yes3 %

Precio comprobado el

Operar
Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →
Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.
Volumen 24 h—
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
Liquidez—
Spread—
Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this settlement-time difference does not change the underlying question.
  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    124 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 25 sept, 16:07 UTC

  • Limitlesseste mercado

    How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8

    This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    5 titulares · leído 30 sept, 01:02 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5Limitless50 % YesAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6Limitless50 % NoAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12Limitless99 % NoAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10Limitless99 % NoAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14Limitless50 % NoAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16Limitless50 % NoAbierto
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16Limitless99 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares5
Valor en posiciones304,6 US$
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones5
Interés abierto—
Comentarios0

Mejor compra 1 % · mejor venta 5 %

Mayores titulares

  • 0x4008D7018ce7536E7252E3bc21dbe065C0853A21No189,4 US$
  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No99,3 US$
  • sYes10,3 US$
  • 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258Yes5,3 US$
  • 0x795fd17dE8Fc54650bF0E4B273B4a099A5e49f81Yes0,3 US$

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

  • —95 %5,2 US$hace 7 días
  • —1 %1 US$hace 16 días
  • —1 %1 US$hace 16 días
  • —92 %92 US$hace 28 días
  • —90 %5 US$hace 3 meses

Debate en Predxy

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

A las 30 sept, 06:02 UTC