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Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No98 %

Yes2 %

Precio comprobado el 2 oct, 14:40 UTC

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Volumen 24 h87 US$

Volumen 7 d406,4 US$

Volumen 30 d968,3 US$

Liquidez2 mil US$

Spread2 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this settlement-time difference does not change the underlying question.

Polymarketeste mercado
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
122 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 05:49 UTC
LimitlessAbrir →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 titulares · leído 2 oct, 09:46 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	99 % No	653,5 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	68 % No	109,7 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	63 % Yes	20,6 US$	—	—	Abierto

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IronE1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
LornaPredicts1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
Academic-Forecast1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
1walrus1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747

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A las 2 oct, 14:58 UTC