PolymarketAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No99 %

Yes1 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 10:56 UTC

Operar

Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →

Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.

Volumen 24 h12,8 US$

Volumen 7 d1,1 mil US$

Volumen 30 d1,8 mil US$

Liquidez1,6 mil US$

Spread1 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registrado

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

2 plataformas la tienen

Ver la pregunta combinada →

Comparables, no idénticas. The markets have materially identical resolution criteria and sources; Limitless lists resolution at December 31, 2026, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC (equivalent to December 31 at 11:59 PM ET).

LimitlessAbrir →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 titulares · leído 30 sept, 08:56 UTC
Polymarketeste mercado
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
94 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 26 sept, 22:01 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	58 % Yes	120,1 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	98,8 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	82,8 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	59 % No	37,6 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	32,8 US$	—	—	Abierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Leído de la plataforma hace 4 días

Titulares94

Valor en posiciones—

Operaciones (24 h)—

Operaciones—

Interés abierto—

Comentarios0

Mejor compra 0 % · mejor venta 1 %

Mayores titulares

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296692753378379890594987579176391673387302955841522730684083658512551037210848334
Breakable-Bottomline65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
IronE65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
Academic-Forecast65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
planktonXD65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

BUY0 %1,3 US$hace 6 días
BUY100 %4,3 US$hace 7 días
BUY100 %5 US$hace 13 días
SELL0 %0 US$hace 14 días
BUY0 %0,1 US$hace 16 días
BUY0 %0 US$hace 18 días

Debate en Predxy

Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

A las 30 sept, 11:25 UTC