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Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No62 %

Yes39 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 23:26 UTC

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Volumen 24 h150,5 US$

Volumen 7 d980,7 US$

Volumen 30 d3 mil US$

Liquidez832,5 US$

Spread17 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comparables, no idénticas. The published criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists resolution at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this is only a settlement-time difference, not a difference in the measured question.

Polymarketeste mercado
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
174 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 26 sept, 23:36 UTC
LimitlessAbrir →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 titulares · leído 30 sept, 17:33 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	58 % Yes	125,6 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	99 % No	56 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	30 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	10,2 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	10 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	10 US$	—	—	Abierto

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Mejor compra 53 % · mejor venta 61 %

Mayores titulares

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Jam-Packed-Fraud36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549
IronE108274249976865200285399055028180907021395947249491255471470364491925454297602
nellojello36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549
zhaoyk36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549

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A las 30 sept, 23:58 UTC