Best AI model end of December 2026: Meta

No99 %
Yes1 %

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Spread1 %
Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%1 oct, 18:251 oct, 21:542 oct, 01:222 oct, 04:51

No hay datos registrados antes del 1 oct en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

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La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

FuentePolymarket market will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. PredictFun checks at December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, while Polymarket uses the end-of-day December 31 deadline; Pascal adopts Polymarket’s published market. Tie handling differs materially as described, but this is a settlement-rule difference rather than a different question.
  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    leído 1 oct, 23:28 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    39 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 08:33 UTC

  • Pascaleste mercado

    Best AI model end of December 2026: Meta

    La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

    leído 2 oct, 04:44 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Best AI model end of December 2026: GooglePascal63 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AmazonPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AnthropicPascal53 % YesAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: BaiduPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AlibabaPascal99 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: xAIPascal99 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: OpenAIPascal93 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MeituanPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MicrosoftPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: DeepSeekPascal100 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: ByteDancePascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MoonshotPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MistralPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: Z.aiPascal—Abierto

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A las 2 oct, 04:51 UTC