Best AI model end of December 2026: xAI

No99 %
Yes1 %

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Spread1 %
Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%1 oct, 18:251 oct, 21:322 oct, 00:402 oct, 03:47

No hay datos registrados antes del 1 oct en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

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La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

FuentePolymarket market will-xai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket specifies the Chatbot Arena Text Arena overall leaderboard and checks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; Pascal publishes no criteria. Their listed resolution timestamps differ, but that is only a settlement-time difference.
  • Pascaleste mercado

    Best AI model end of December 2026: xAI

    La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

    leído 2 oct, 03:48 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    43 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 29 sept, 09:03 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Best AI model end of December 2026: GooglePascal63 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AmazonPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AnthropicPascal53 % YesAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: BaiduPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: AlibabaPascal99 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: OpenAIPascal94 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MeituanPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MicrosoftPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: DeepSeekPascal100 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MetaPascal99 % NoAbierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: ByteDancePascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MoonshotPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: MistralPascal—Abierto
Best AI model end of December 2026: Z.aiPascal—Abierto

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A las 2 oct, 03:48 UTC